Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000063 0.000075 0.000088 0.000104 0.000120 0.000138 0.000159
2025-04-06 0.000046 0.000062 0.000080 0.000102 0.000128 0.000158 0.000194
2025-04-13 0.000040 0.000057 0.000079 0.000106 0.000140 0.000180 0.000229
2025-04-20 0.000032 0.000050 0.000073 0.000103 0.000143 0.000190 0.000251
2025-04-27 0.000026 0.000044 0.000069 0.000103 0.000147 0.000202 0.000273
2025-05-04 0.000022 0.000040 0.000066 0.000102 0.000152 0.000214 0.000297
2025-05-11 0.000020 0.000039 0.000066 0.000107 0.000162 0.000233 0.000329
2025-05-18 0.000017 0.000036 0.000064 0.000107 0.000167 0.000246 0.000353
2025-05-25 0.000014 0.000032 0.000060 0.000103 0.000166 0.000250 0.000366
2025-06-01 0.000012 0.000029 0.000058 0.000103 0.000170 0.000261 0.000388
2025-06-08 0.000011 0.000027 0.000056 0.000103 0.000174 0.000271 0.000409
2025-06-15 0.000009 0.000026 0.000055 0.000104 0.000179 0.000284 0.000433
2025-06-22 0.000008 0.000023 0.000052 0.000103 0.000182 0.000293 0.000453
2025-06-29 0.000006 0.000021 0.000049 0.000101 0.000183 0.000300 0.000471
2025-07-06 0.000006 0.000021 0.000051 0.000106 0.000194 0.000322 0.000510
2025-07-13 0.000005 0.000018 0.000048 0.000103 0.000193 0.000326 0.000524
2025-07-20 0.000004 0.000017 0.000046 0.000102 0.000196 0.000335 0.000544
2025-07-27 0.000003 0.000015 0.000044 0.000102 0.000199 0.000345 0.000567
2025-08-03 0.000003 0.000015 0.000045 0.000106 0.000210 0.000366 0.000605
2025-08-10 0.000003 0.000014 0.000044 0.000106 0.000214 0.000378 0.000630
2025-08-17 0.000002 0.000013 0.000041 0.000103 0.000212 0.000380 0.000640
2025-08-24 0.000002 0.000012 0.000040 0.000103 0.000215 0.000390 0.000664
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000011 0.000039 0.000102 0.000218 0.000401 0.000686